The Data Detective: three tips for Newmarket on Friday
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The Data Detective: three tips for Newmarket on Friday

By Andy Stephens
Last Updated: Thu 24 Sep 2026
Andy Stephens is banking on a mare snapping a lengthy losing run plus recekon's Rebel's Romance's brother can shine. 

Enjoy our RaceiQ pace maps

✅ 1.15 NEWMARKET: ARISAIG

Highest Speed: 41.81mph
FSP form: 113012718
Trainer’s Actual versus Expected at Newmarket: 1.83
Arisaig is on a lengthy losing run but usually runs well, including when third in this race last year and when runner-up here in April.
She’s had the best Finishing Speed Percentage in half of her past ten races and, with not much of a gallop on the cards, hopefully Jamie Spencer will not sit too far off the pace on her.

✅ 1.50 NEWMARKET: COEDANA

Time Index at Pontefract: 9.8 (meet average 8.1) 
Finishing Speed Percentage form: 134113131 
Top Speed form: 151112217 
Coedana has had the best Finishing Speed Percentage in five of her nine races in Britain, including when scoring at Pontefract in June when she gamely hung on. The time of that race was slick, being 3.61 seconds faster than the RaceiQ Par.
She also ran well in a Group 1 race in Germany last time when not far behind Hotazhell and Wimbledon Hawkeye. 

✅ 3.35 NEWMARKET: FORTITUDINE

Latest Time Index: 7.2 (meet average 6.2) 
Highest speed: 40.50mph 
Fastest 0-20mph: 2.01sec 
Fortitudine is a brother of nine-time Group One winner Rebel’s Romance and has made a flawless start – winning by 21 lengths on his Kempton debut before following up there. 
He’s a shorter strider than his sibling but he’s shown smart gate speed and his front-running victories have been achieved in times quicker than the PaceiQ Par. Leaders in 12f furlong races such as this have an Actual over Expected of 2.08. 
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